Méthode de modélisation-simulation
VirSim - a Model to Support Pandemic Policy Making Tobias Fasth, Marcus Ihlar, Lisa Brouwers. PLoS Currents: Influenza. September 2010.
A simulation model called VirSim was developed to aid policy making in Sweden. The model simulates the spread of pandemic influenza, using real population data on a national and regional level. Swedish authorities wanted a model that was both quick to run and to implement as a complement to the existing model MicroSim.» Lire plus
Using simulation tools for strategic decision making Mark Paich. PricewaterhouseCoopers Technology Forecast 2010, Issue 1.
Dr. Mark Paich provides examples of Decisio’s success in using AnyLogic and other simulation tools to help executives at large enterprises make major transformation decisions.» Lire plus
Modelling and Analysing Cargo Screening Processes: a Project Outline Peer-Olaf Siebers, Uwe Aickelin, David Menachof, Galina Sherman, Peter Zimmerman. 2009 INFORMS at University of Warwick, June 25-27, Coventry, U.K.
The efficiency of current cargo screening processes at sea and air ports is unknown as no benchmarks exists against which they could be measured. Some manufacturer benchmarks exist for individual sensors but we have not found any benchmarks that take a holistic view of the screening procedures assessing a combination of sensors and also taking operator variability into account. Just adding up resources and manpower used is not an effective way for assessing systems where human decision-making and operator compliance to rules play a vital role.» Lire plus
Real Options and System Dynamics Aproach To Model Value of Implementing a Project Specific Dispute Resolution Process in Construction Projects Carol C. Menassa, Feniosky Peña Mora. 2009 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC’09), December 13-16, Austin, TX, USA
This paper presents a methodology to study the effect of different resolution strategies on the value of the investment in a project-specific dispute resolution ladder (DRL) using option/real option theories from financial engineering, process centric modeling, and system dynamics methodology.» Lire plus
Hybrid Simulation and Optimization-Based Capacity Planner for Integrated Photovoltaic Generation with Storage Units Esfandyar M. Mazhari. 2009 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC’09), December 13-16, Austin, TX, USA
Unlike fossil-fueled generation, solar energy resources are geographically distributed and highly intermittent, which makes their direct control difficult and requires storage units. The goal of this research is to develop a flexible capacity planning tool, which will allow us to obtain a most economical mixture of capacities from solar generation as well as storage while meeting reliability requirements against fluctuating demand and weather conditions. The tool is based on hybrid (system dynamics and agent-based models) simulation and meta-heuristic optimization.» Lire plus
AnyLogic 4.0: Simulating Hybrid Systems with Extended UML-RT Andrei Borshchev. Simulation News Europe, No. 31 April 2001, pp 15-16
We outline a modelling approach aimed to capture sophisticated interdependencies of discrete and continuous behaviors in hybrid systems. The approach is essentially a hybrid extension of widely recognized object-oriented languages UML and UML-RT. It is fully supported by a new simulation tool AnyLogic 4.0 from Experimental Object Technologies.» Lire plus
Decision Support Tool — Supply Chain Christian Wartha, Momtchil Peev, Andrei Borshchev, and Alexei Filippov. 2002 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC’02), December 8-11, 2002, San Diego, California, USA
We present a currently developed Decision Support Tool - Supply Chain (DST-SC). This is specialized domain oriented tool, which is an extension of the general purpose, UML-RT Hybrid Simulation kernel of AnyLogic by XJ Technologies. DST-SC allows high degree of flexibility with respect to the supply chain functionality being modeled, has the ability to handle large complex problems, and offers highly reusable model components, offering at the same time ease of use by non-experts in simulation.» Lire plus
Using Simulation Modeling for IT Cost Analysis Yuri Karpov and Timofei Popkov. The 10th HP Open View University Association Workshop, Switzerland, July 6-9, 2003
In the old days, the price for IT services was formed in a pretty standardized way. Network services had an explicit usage price per Kbit/ sec. The range of provided IT services have been growing very fast and have reached new dimensions of complexity. From infrastructure pricing to web-enabled application availability and performance nowadays the old rules for defining service pricing is not applicable any more. Today it is difficult or sometime even impossible to associate the provided service levels with the cost related to the processes of operation, maintenance and the capital cost behind it. The old measures of dollars per Kbit/sec cannot be the right measure any more.» Lire plus
A Modern Simulation Approach for Pharmaceutical Portfolio Management Kirk Solo and Mark Paich. International Conference on Health Sciences Simulation (ICHSS'04), January 18 - 21, 2004, San Diego, California, USA
By creating an integrated simulation environment that models the underlying structure of a pharmaceutical enterprise portfolio it becomes possible to identify the optimal longitudinal allocation of finite resources across the constellation of available investment opportunities. The implementation of a hybrid approach that integrates multiple modeling techniques and analytic disciplines allows for a comprehensive environment that captures the underlying dynamics that drive observed market behavior. The implementation of an object oriented model structure constrains the models complexity by supporting dynamic re-use of both structure and logic.» Lire plus
Agent Modeling of Hispanic Population Acculturation and Behavior Lyle Wallis, Mark Paich, and Andrei Borshchev. The 3rd International Conference on Systems Thinking in Management (ICSTM 2004), May 19 - 21, 2004, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
In recent US Census data widely reported in the press “Hispanics” have become the largest minority group in the US. Using simulation modeling technology we look at some of the structural forces that shape the characteristics of the Hispanic population. The model creates a simulated Hispanic population whose level of acculturation to the broader population of which it is a part dynamically varies according to individual choice. The modeling technique used draws on both System Dynamic and Agent based paradigms both supported by innovative AnyLogic software. The representative Hispanic population is disaggregated down to the individual level as individual agents. Each agent makes choices stochastically as modulated by its current state and the outside environment that it is in.» Lire plus